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Rusijos karas prieš Ukrainą ir bandymai grasinti NATO
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Parašė Eidvis Rodyti pranešimą
Apie tai, kad minų laukai yra didelė problema, buvo neišsigalvota, o užfiksuota, tame tarpe ir video. Kad tą suprasti/užfiksuoti tam nebūtina dideliu mastu šimtus tankų per minų laukus varyti.
It's just a circle of people talking to themselves who have no f—ing idea what's going on
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Parašė Tomas Rodyti pranešimąIr tikrai manai, kad tie minų laukai UA armijos vadovybei buvo kažkokia staigmena privertusi iš esmės keisti puolimo planą?Nepirk iš Decathlon, Ritter Sport, Philips, Nestle, KraftHeinz, Viada, Vičiūnų,
Toblerone, Milka, Dirol, Halls (Mondelez International), Hellmann's, Heineken, Mars, PepsiCo
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Timothy Snyder: Ten reasons Ukraine should win the war
The first and the most fundamental is that Ukraine’s victory is the only way to achieve peace. All the people would like for this war to come to an end, and a victory by Ukraine is the only way to do that. A Russian victory will lead to further Russian aggression. A Ukrainian capitulation will lead to the continuation of policies of atrocity on Ukrainian soil. The only way this war could end is a sufficient Ukrainian success on the field of battle that Russia believes is in its interest to negotiate.Secondly, the Ukrainian victory is important for the security of the region. The only way that the Ukrainian population could be protected is by way of Ukrainian victory. But it is also very significant for the populations of the Baltic countries, Poland, Romania, and Moldova that Russian aggression against the neighboring country not succeed.Number eight. Ukrainian victory is also very important for the future of Russia. The Ukrainians should not be thinking about this factor, but for the rest of us who are concerned about the security of Europe and the security of the world, it is very important what kind of Russia we will be living alongside in decades to come.
For Russia to become a normal country where Russian interests are observed by Russian leaders, it is very important that Russia loses this war. It is very important that Russians cease to pursue a foreign policy that is about gathering land on a basis of entirely untenable myths. It is very important for Russia, for Russians, and for future Russian governments to be in a position to think instead about the future of Russia and about the reality of Russian interests. And a defeat on a battlefield here will be a step forward towards that kind of Russia. Russia where Russians are able to think about a future away from imperialism. Russia where the past perhaps weighs a bit less heavily as myths on the decisions of the President. And Russia where interests can be considered and the future can be considered.
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Putin, Trump, Ukraine: how Timothy Snyder became the leading interpreter of our dark times
Historians aren’t supposed to make predictions, but Yale professor Timothy Snyder has become known for his dire warnings – and many of them have been proved correctSnyder’s view of Putin was still more ominous. In Putin’s Russia, Snyder sees a corrupt autocracy that has turned to neo-fascism in an attempt to regain its imperial glory. He was one of the few anglophone commentators to anticipate Russia’s 2014 invasion of Ukraine – a prediction that even his friends scoffed at – and warned in his book Black Earth that “a new Russian colonialism” threatened European stability. In his opinion, the full-scale invasion that started last year was not, as some saw it, a minor regional conflict, but rather an atrocity of epochal significance: “It is about the possibility of a democratic future,” he wrote in Foreign Affairs.
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Putin Is Fighting, and Losing, His Last War
Russian nuclear propaganda assumes that the bully always wins. But the bully does not always win. Russian propagandists want us to think that nuclear powers can never lose wars, on the logic that they could always deploy nuclear weapons to win. This is an ahistorical fantasy. Nuclear weapons did not bring the French victory in Algeria, nor did they preserve the British Empire. The Soviet Union lost its war in Afghanistan. America lost in Vietnam and in Iraq and in Afghanistan. Israel failed to win in Lebanon. Nuclear powers lose wars with some regularity.Indeed, Russian leaders have already indicated what they will do if they believe that they are losing: change the terms of reference and change the subject in Russian media. The assumption in Russian politics is that rhetoric overcomes reality. And the rhetorical preparations for defeat have been made. Beneath Mr. Putin’s vague bellicosity is the idea that Russia wins if it avoids (in his words) “strategic defeat” imposed by NATO. Almost no matter what happens, it will be easy for him to define the war in Ukraine as a strategic victory. Since the Kremlin claims that it is fighting NATO, all Mr. Putin has to say is that Russia stopped NATO from crossing into Russia.By taking nuclear blackmail seriously, we have actually increased the overall unpredictability of nuclear war. If nuclear blackmail enables a Russian victory, the consequences will be incalculably awful. If any country with nuclear weapons can do whatever it likes, then law means nothing, no international order is possible and catastrophe beckons at every turn. Countries without nuclear weapons will have to build them, on the logic that they will need nuclear deterrence in the future. Nuclear proliferation would make nuclear war much more likely in the future.The way forward to strategic thinking is to free ourselves from our own anxieties and consider the Russian ones. The Russians talk about nuclear weapons not because they mean to use them but because they believe a large nuclear arsenal makes them a superpower. Nuclear talk makes them feel powerful. They see nuclear bullying as their prerogative and believe that others should automatically yield at the first mention of their weapons. The Ukrainians have not allowed this to affect their tactics.
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War is unpredictable. Military history is full of surprises.
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When Russians talk about nuclear war, the safest response is to ensure their very conventional defeat.
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180k iš vienos raketos.
Čia kaip 1000 žmonių su Uzi iššaudytų po 7-8 magazinus/kasetes.
Tik tie Uzi šaudytų su žymiai didesne jėga nei įprastai, t.y. greitesniais ir kietesniais šovinukais.
Iš kitos vietos kur Rusijos TOR-M1 gavo volframo gabaliukų lietaus:
Sveikas TOR-M1 atrodo taip (Wiki) ir kainuoja apie 25M.
Paskutinis taisė T-K-K; 2023.08.15, 07:42.
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Parašė T-K-K Rodyti pranešimą
Wow.
Pasirodo viena raketa paleidžia 180'000+ mažų volframo gabaliukų. Tokių:
Įdomu kokiu greičiu tie gabaliukai krenta kad sugeba kiaurai prakirsti tas metalines priekabas.
Edit: supersonic, bet nerandu tikslaus greičio intervalo.
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New video shows attack on $4 billion Russian bridge
Exclusive footage shows Ukraine using an experimental "sea baby" drone to attack a hated Russian bridge to Crimea 07.17
https://charter97.org/ru/news/2023/8/16/559871/Nepirk iš Decathlon, Ritter Sport, Philips, Nestle, KraftHeinz, Viada, Vičiūnų,
Toblerone, Milka, Dirol, Halls (Mondelez International), Hellmann's, Heineken, Mars, PepsiCo
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Parašė Arunasx Rodyti pranešimąGražus vaizdelis po kasetinio sprogmens:
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Parašė NIR_Rimc Rodyti pranešimąČia ne kasetinis sprogmuo, o HIMARSO raketa su volframo gabaliukais. Kasetiniai yra duoti patrankom ir savieiginėm patrankom 155mm.
180'000 gabaliukų iš vienos raketos.
Čia toks kiekis kaip 7200 Uzi kasečių/magazinų. Ir viskas iš vienos raketos.
Vienas žmogus 7200 Uzi kasečių šaudytų non-stop porą dienų.
O įskaičiuojant nuovargį ir t.t. galbūt ir porą savaičių.
O čia viena raketa.
Ir tie wolframo gabaliukai kietesni ir skrenda su didesne galia (t.y. greičiau) nei kulkos.
180'000 tokių skylučių iš vienos raketos. Pipiec.
Paskutinis taisė T-K-K; 2023.08.16, 12:21.
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Parašė Galys Rodyti pranešimą
Mano nuotaika bus slogesnė jei kažkur būsim įstrigę, bus rugsėjo galas ir jau būsim matę sunaikintus Challenger'ius, Stryker'ius, Marder'ius, o jau ir Abrams'us, kas reikš, kad didelė dalis puolimui rengtų brigadų jau buvo panaudota ir išnaudota.
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Gali būti, kad ukrainiečiai rado bent dalinį sprendimą rusų minų laukams. Dieną žemė įkaista, kartu įkaitinant ir minas, o vakare, kai pradeda vėsti, įkaitusios minos vėsta liečau, t.y. ilgiau išlaiko šilumą ir pakėlus droną su termokamera pasimato pozicijos, kur tos minos užkastos. Iš esmės jeigu tai gerai veikia, tai ukrainiečiai jau gali turėti gana tikslius užkastų minų žemėlapius. CNN reportažas nuo 2:30
Kita bėda, kad po to jas reikia nukenksminti. Bet jeigu sistema su minų susekimu gerai veikia, tai galbūt yra variantas, kad į tą konkrečią vietą paleisti artilerijos sviedinį, galbūt yra tokių, kurie susprogsta keli metrai virš žemės ir tas sprogimo smūgis atstoja sunkiosios technikos užvažiavimą ant pačios minos. Iš idėjos tai ir tie minų šalilntojais jas nukenksmina panaudojant sprogimo bangą, tik problema, kad jiems labai pavojinga taip giliai į priešo teritoriją įvažiuoti.
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Jei tai iš tikro viena iš paskutinių didelių atsargoje tai tada ne kas. Galvojau, kad įvesta į mūšį max pusė.
Ukraina stiprina kontrpuolimą, į mūšį įtraukdama vieną iš paskutinių didelių atsargoje esančių vienetų – 82-ąją oro desantininkų brigadą, rašo „Forbes“. Leidinio duomenimis, 2 tūkstančių žmonių brigada yra aprūpinta šarvuočiais „Marder“ ir „Stryker“ bei pėstininkų kovos mašinomis, taip pat tankais „Challenger 2“.Brigada įstojo į mūšį Melitopolio kryptimi, Zaporožės srities Robotino rajone.Nepirk iš Decathlon, Ritter Sport, Philips, Nestle, KraftHeinz, Viada, Vičiūnų,
Toblerone, Milka, Dirol, Halls (Mondelez International), Hellmann's, Heineken, Mars, PepsiCo
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Parašė Arunasx Rodyti pranešimąJei tai iš tikro viena iš paskutinių didelių atsargoje tai tada ne kas. Galvojau, kad įvesta į mūšį max pusė.
p.s. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/82nd_Airborne_Division
O jei apie Tokmak ašį, tai ten dar makaluojasi 116, 33 ir 46 puolimui rengtos brigados, kurios, jei neklystu, dar niekur rimčiau nedalyvavo, gal nebent kokie dronų operatoriai.
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